Nothing Ever Happens Index

The "Nothing Ever Happens" meme emerged from the perpetually cynical corners of the internet, where doomscrollers ironically dismiss major geopolitical events with eye-rolling certainty that nothing will fundamentally change. Syria falls? Nothing ever happens. Nuclear threats escalate? Nothing ever happens. The world teeters on the edge? Nothing. Ever. Happens.

But what if we could quantify that cynicism? What if prediction markets—where real money flows toward genuine beliefs about the future—could tell us when to take the doomers seriously?

This index tracks high-impact geopolitical risk markets on Polymarket—the world's largest prediction market. When traders start betting serious money that nuclear war, territorial invasions, or major conflicts are imminent, the meter moves. When the odds cool off, we return to our regularly scheduled programming of pretending everything is fine.

Think of it as a Fear & Greed Index for people who expect the worst but secretly hope they're wrong. Spoiler: they usually are. Nothing ever happens.